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The Real Warren Buffett - 巴菲特每周新闻专贴

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发表于 2008-11-28 11:10:36 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式

最近在看关于巴老的半官方自传《The Snowball - Warren Buffett and the Business of Life》,对其的关心自然比以往更多一些。今日更突发奇想,欲在此论坛发一个专贴,转载每周关于巴老的新闻,多以国外信息源为主,盖因国内媒体善于断章取义、编辑修改,不喜。

既是国外的新闻,那就避免不了以英语为载体,还望对英文望而生畏的朋友海涵,也希望有能力的朋友多些相助作译。本人精力和时间有限,仅以提供新闻源为主。

其实这也是给大家每周练习英文阅读的机会,并且从而了解巴老近况,一举两得。也希望得到福兄和各网管、版主的支持,谢谢!

PS:
希望少跟无意义的帖子,此专贴以信息为主!

[此帖子已被 atcoolman 在 2009-2-23 9:49:51 编辑过]
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-23 11:32:55 | 显示全部楼层

谢谢十年兄对巴老最新来信的精彩评论,新浪上那一只花蛤就是老兄么?

福兄把巴老教诲奉为圭臬,时刻铭记,让人敬仰!(周末又把巴老自首次披露买入BNSF后加仓的全过程温习一遍,受益良多。)

也谢谢highlander兄贴出巴老原文和中文译稿。

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-15 22:01:22 | 显示全部楼层

小闻一则,巴郡去年支付巴老49万一千美金,让‘年薪十万’规矩根深蒂固的追随者多少有些迷惑。原来事起07年一起安全隐患,除却巴老年薪和任职其他公司董事的薪筹外,大部分钱都花在巴老那所老宅子的安保系统上了,毕竟巴老就是整个控股集团的核心,破手烂脚倒还无关紧要,大脑如果受到伤害,则是要元气大伤的。


Friday, 13 Mar 2009
Berkshire Hathaway Spent $316,000 On Warren Buffett's Security Last Year
Posted By: Alex Crippen

Today's headlines along the lines of Warren Buffett Takes Home $491,000 from Berkshire might cause a moment of confusion for long-time Buffett watchers.

After all, Buffett's annual salary has remained unchanged at $100,000 for a quarter of a century, and he has told Berkshire's Compensation Committee that "he would not expect or desire it to increase in the future."

Buffett also receives $75,000 a year in director's fees from companies in which Berkshire has "significant investments."

That brings his "total compensation" to $175,000.

Buffett also regularly pays $50,000 back to Berkshire to cover those times when he uses Berkshire personnel, mail, and phones, for personal matters.

How do you get to $491,000? The big difference in this year's proxy statement, filed ahead of May's annual meeting, is the note that in 2008, "Berkshire provided personal and home security services" for Buffett at a cost of $315,709.

While Buffett continues to live very unpretentiously compared to most of his fellow multi-billionaires, the boost in security spending by Berkshire may well have been prompted by an incident in September of 2007.

A man wearing dark clothing and camouflage paint on his face was able to ring the doorbell late in the evening at Buffett's Omaha home. The potential intruder ran away after a scuffle with a security guard and has not been caught.

Current Berkshire stock prices:

Class A: [US;BRK.A 83550.0 -2150.00 (-2.51%) ]

Class B: [US;BRK.B 2741.5 -39.00 (-1.4%) ]

© 2009 CNBC, Inc. All Rights Reserved

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-10 11:30:35 | 显示全部楼层

谢谢ICE,找来CNBC采访精选,以供大家参考对照:


Mar.09 6:32 AM ET
Warren Buffett to CNBC: Economy Has "Fallen Off a Cliff"
Posted By: Alex Crippen

Warren Buffett tells CNBC's Becky Quick the U.S. economy has "fallen off a cliff."

During a three-hour appearance on Squawk Box this morning (Monday), Buffett said economic developments have been very "close to the worst case" that he had imagined, although conditions would be far worse if the Federal Reserve hadn't stepped in last September.

Other highlights:

  • The economy "can't turn around on a dime" and a turnaround "won't happen fast."
  • Predicts unemployment rate in U.S. will go well above its current levels before the downturn ends
  • But, five years from now, the economy will be running fine. The strength of the American system will pull it through, just as it has many times in the past.
  • Democrats and Republicans should work together and not try to take advantage of the economic situation to achieve partisan goals.
  • Inflation has the "potential" to be worse than the 1970s.
  • Most banks are in "pretty good shape" and can "earn their way out" of the current problems given the low cost of funds. Banks, however, "need to get back to banking."
  • Extremely important that the government make clear depositors won't lose their money if banks fail. Obama needs to make a "clear statement" in support of the banking system.
  • Berkshire is restricted from buying more American Express [AXP 10.64 0.38 (+3.7%) ] stock, but that doesn't mean it is not a "hell of a buy" at $10 a share.
  • Wishes he had written the New York Times "Buy American" piece a few months later, but stands by the basic argument that you'll do better over a ten-year period with stocks that you will with Treasuries. He said in the article he wasn't calling the bottom of the stock market, and he still isn't.
  • Buffett says derivatives are not "evil" and to be avoided at all costs, but they are "dangerous" and should be used very carefully. He still expects to make money on the long-term "put option" equity derivative contracts Berkshire has written.
  • Housing market could work through, or "sop up," its excess supply in as little as three years if new construction is reduced to a level below natural population growth
  • The U.S. economy was not a "house of cards" over the past ten years, but mistakes were made when it came to borrowing money.
  • Mark-to-market accounting should be retained, but regulators shouldn't use it so much to require insitutions to increase their reserves.
  • "Probably the uptick rule" is a good idea.
  • Mistake to "demonize" corporate executives for using private jets. Having a jet has helped Berkshire make deals in the past.
  • Praises Ben Bernanke's leadership as Federal Reserve Chairman

CNBC will air a one-hour special The Billionaire Next Door: Restoring Trust tonight (Monday) at 8p ET.

Current Berkshire stock prices:

Class A: [US;BRK.A 73195.0 --- UNCH (0) ]

Class B: [US;BRK.B 2310.05 -16.95 (-0.73%) ]

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发表于 2009-3-16 21:31:50 | 显示全部楼层

上文是十年兄写的吗?鼓掌!

是的,当你经常阅读巴菲特的致股东信,你会从中汲取到不可多得的投资智慧。只有无知和狂妄者才会对这样的投资管理人说“裸泳”、“倒下”等等评语。

但最让我欣赏的还是巴菲特去年十月份的那篇著名的《By American I am》。我甚至认为,读懂了这篇文章,几基本上懂投资了(因此我要我们的员工都要背过此文,或者如有人能背过此文我能肯定他基本上符合我们的要求了)。因为在我看来那是篇集巴菲特70年投资智慧的结晶之文。那是“错误”的“抄底”吗?那是巴菲特的“失误”吗?我不这么认为。好象巴菲特也不这么认为。巴老是个勇于认错的人,但他说过,现在他也不对那篇文章后悔。

我的理解是这样的:巴菲特从不是个“抄底”者,而是个在物超所值而其它大买家因害怕进一步下跌而退却后的从容大买家。对此,这里有两个意义:一是经过仔细评估,所要买入的对象已经物超所值;二是短期内(几个月到一年)股市如何走他不介意,也不会去预测,更不会以此来评价自己的买卖。现在因道指从9000点跌到6500点就认为巴菲特“错”了。错了吗?用短线炒家的思维看是“错”的,但这样的炒家永远也体会不到赚大钱和必赚钱的滋味。今天下午与一位朋友谈到这个问题时我这样说道。

我更无法相信的是:在市场恐惧到那种程度时,买入特别是买入早已评估好的对象,事后会表明是“错”了。市场是那样的美妙和有序,它的物超所值与市场心理一定是联系的那么紧密。

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-23 11:59:51 | 显示全部楼层

本应在去年巴郡股东大会上大放异彩的《滚雪球》却因延迟出版,只能偃旗息鼓和其它六本新书摆在一起供股东们翻阅购买;华尔街的批巴力量刚开始聚集,而美国境外的批巴势力又在加拿大多伦多建起倒巴新阵线,姑且观之!


Published Sunday March 22, 2009
Warren Watch: Biography will be sold at meeting
BY STEVE JORDON
WORLD-HERALD STAFF WRITER

"The Snowball" is scheduled to be sold at the May 2 annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. shareholders.

There had been discussion about whether the Warren Buffett biography by Alice Schroeder would be available then, but Buffett makes the selections himself and the 960-page book made the cut, along with 41 other books and three DVDs.

In January, we reported that Buffett had ended his annual pre-meeting Q&A dinner with Schroeder. The New York Times quoted unnamed sources last month as saying that Buffett's relationship with Schroeder had cooled because he was displeased with the book's accounts of his personal life, particularly its portrayal of his late wife, Susan Thompson Buffett.

But at the time Buffett said, through a spokeswoman, that he "likes Alice, likes her book and has received a number of glowing letters from friends about it." Their off-the-record dinner discussion, held since 1998, had simply run its course, he said.

The book (full title: "The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life," Bantam, $35) will be one of seven new books displayed in the northeast corner of the Qwest Center Omaha's exhibition hall, where Omaha's locally owned store, the Bookworm, has its temporary shop.

"It would be out of character for him to authorize the book and then not have her sell the book at the meeting," said Phil Black, co-owner of the Bookworm. The store usually invites authors of the books to sign copies during the annual meeting and had invited Schroeder, he said.

But Schroeder said last week that she will not be signing copies at the meeting or at the Bookworm, located in Countryside Village near 87th and Pacific Streets, during Berkshire weekend.

"I am a huge supporter of independent bookstores," Schroeder said. "Independent bookstores and publishers and authors have very special relationships. For whatever reason, we were not able to have that kind of a relationship with the Bookworm for this event."

She and Bantam "weren't able to work things out with the Bookworm," she said.

At one point Bantam had hoped to debut the book at the 2008 Berkshire meeting. The Bookworm had planned a separate "Snowball" tent outside the Qwest Center stocked with tens of thousands of copies.

But the writing and editing process pushed the release to September. Many of the 25,000 or so people expected at this year's Berkshire meeting likely already have copies if they want them.

Black said he's trying to figure out how many copies to order. "It won't be the thousands and thousands like it would have been last year," he said, although the store's 20 percent discount for shareholders is an added incentive.

Buffett had long planned an autobiography but instead delegated the task of writing a complete account of his life to Schroeder, a former insurance analyst who had researched Berkshire. It's her first book.

For five years Buffett opened his records and gave her exclusive access and extensive interviews. His friends, family members and business associates cooperated as well.

Other new titles that will be sold at the Berkshire meeting:

• "How to Build a Business Warren Buffett Would Buy: The R.C. Willey Story" by Jeff Benedict.

• "Dear Mr. Buffett: What an Investor Learns 1,269 Miles from Wall Street" by Janet Tavakoli.

• "Showing Up for Life: Thoughts on the Gifts of a Lifetime" by Bill Gates Sr., father of Microsoft founder Bill Gates.

• "Pilgrimage to Warren Buffett's Omaha: A Hedge Fund Manager's Dispatches" by Jeff Matthews.

• New editions of "The Great Crash: 1929" by John Kenneth Galbraith and "Security Analysis" by Benjamin Graham & David Dodd.

Does he swim naked?


Toronto Star columnist David Olive criticized Buffett last week on several counts, including his touting the strengths of Wells Fargo Bank and U.S. Bank when Berkshire is a leading shareholder of the two.

Rather than a trusted oracle for Main Street, Olive wrote, Buffett is "a knight errant."

"How seriously are we to take Warren Buffett, one of the world's best-known investors, and for decades a scold of poor corporate governance practices? Not very, I'd say," the columnist wrote.

Buffett's advocacy of the stock market helped lead ordinary people to investment risks they weren't equipped to handle, Olive wrote. Instead of "buy and hold," Berkshire "generates most of its profits from the cerebrum of Warren Edward Buffett," signing sweetheart investment deals and making huge bets that average people can't duplicate.

Olive wrote that Buffett criticized derivatives ? complex investments that derive their value from other sources such as stock indexes ? yet Berkshire counts a possible $2 billion loss from its own derivatives and would lose $61 billion if all of its derivatives turn sour.

He criticized Berkshire's ownership of 20 percent of Moody's Corp., saying that Moody's high ratings on mortgage-backed securities contributed to the global financial crisis.

"Buffett is oversold as a governance expert, public or private sector," the column said. "Having cultivated a reputation as an advocate of corporate ethics, Buffett in his own conduct at Berkshire has rejected almost every tenet of the modern corporate-governance reform movement.

"Buffett likes to say that a recession reveals who's been swimming naked," Olive writes. "For those who have chosen not to be starry-eyed about Buffett's methods and his uneven record, the Oracle has been scantily clad for years."

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-3-30 06:30:18 | 显示全部楼层

上周一,巴郡股价(A类)从5年半新低$72,400重返$90,000,并创下年内第二大涨幅。其实,巴郡本身股价的变动,正反映了巴老和其老师格雷厄姆经常说到的市场先生喜怒无常。


Monday, 23 Mar 2009
Berkshire Hathaway Back at $90K After 28% Rally Over 12 Days
Posted By: Alex Crippen

Shares of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (Class A) are back at $90,000 tonight after rallying more then 28 percent over the past 12 trading days.

The stock advanced 6.4 percent today (Monday), or $5426 each, to close at exactly $90,000.00 in New York trading.

That is the biggest one-day percentage gain since the March 10 blowout that saw Berkshire shares soar almost 16 percent, and the second biggest gain this year.

It was just about three weeks ago that we were talking about 5-1/2 year lows for Berkshire's stock.

The shares hit an intraday low of $70,050 on March 5. Today's close is 28.5 percent above that level.

The recent closing low of $72,400 was hit that same day. The stock is up 24.3 percent from that mark.

Berkshire has pulled ahead of the benchmark S&P 500 in year-to-date performance. At the beginning of March, they were roughly tied with declines of 23 percent.

Today Berkshire has cut that 2009 drop to just 6.8 percent. The S&P has sliced its YTD decline to 8.9 percent.

Current Berkshire stock prices:

Class A: [US;BRK.A 89600.0 -2300.00 (-2.5%) ]

Class B: [US;BRK.B 2920.0 -38.00 (-1.28%) ]

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 楼主| 发表于 2009-4-13 16:30:01 | 显示全部楼层

如果上个月你对为什么巴老称当时是投资银行业的最佳时机一论不解的话,上周四,富国银行在开市前爆出第一季破纪录盈利30亿美金给出最佳答案,其股价也随即在当日暴涨31.7%。


This Is Why Warren Buffett Says It's a "Great Time to Be in Banking"
Published: Thursday, 9 Apr 2009 | 4:32 PM ET
By: Alex Crippen
Executive Producer

If you were listening carefully to Warren Buffett on CNBC one month ago today, you heard him say, "This is a great time to be in banking."

It may not have made sense to you then, but it should today.

Wells Fargo shares soared 31.7 percent today (Thursday) after the bank announced before the opening bell that it expects to report a record $3 billion in earnings for its first quarter.

In a news release, Wells said, "Business momentum in the quarter reflected strength in our traditional banking businesses, strong capital markets activities, and exceptionally strong mortgage banking results."

At the closing bell, the stock was up $4.72 to $19.61 a share.

As of the end of December, Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway owned almost seven percent of Wells Fargo's stock. That's over 290 million shares. (It may have bought, or sold, shares since then.) It's the single biggest shareholder.

Right now, Berkshire's stake in Wells Fargo is worth almost $1.4 billion more than it was worth just 24 hours ago.

Back on March 9, Wells Fargo stock opened at $8.65.

During a three-hour live appearance on Squawk Box that same morning, Buffett talked about how banks could take advantage of the low cost of money to make very profitable loans:

"The spreads have never been wider. This is a great time to be in banking, you know, if you just get past the past and they are getting past the past. I mean, right now every time a loan is made to somebody to buy a house--and we're making, you know, making millions of loans--four and a half million houses will change hands this year out of a total stock of less than 80 million. So those people are making good mortgages. You want those assets on your books and you get a great spread in putting them on now. So it's a great time to be in banking, but you do have to get past this past."

Today, Berkshire's stake in Wells Fargo is worth $3.2 billion more than it was when Buffett spoke those words.

Current Berkshire stock prices:

Class A: [US;BRK.A 92400.0 --- UNCH (0) ]

Class B: [US;BRK.B 3051.0 --- UNCH (0) ]

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发表于 2009-5-9 10:44:09 | 显示全部楼层
http://space.tv.cctv.com/video/VIDE1241792160484148《经济半小时》5.8播放的柏克夏股东会采访节目
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发表于 2009-5-10 12:38:50 | 显示全部楼层

迅速跟上,呵呵。

http://space.tv.cctv.com/video/VIDE1241878714057888 《经济半小时》5.9播放的柏克夏股东会采访节目

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